مطالعه رژیم بارش و دبی حداکثر رواناب شهری در شرایط اقلیمی آینده (مطالعه موردی: حوضه سیل‌برگردان غرب)

[1] B. Bates, Z.W. Kundzewicz, S. Wu, J. Palutikof, eds., Climate Change and Water (IPCC Technical Paper VI). Geneva, Switzerland: IPCC Secretariat, (2008) Accessed July 10, 2013. https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/technical-papers/climate-change-water-en.pd.

[2] IPCC., Climate Change 2007:1-8. In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, et al., The Physical science basis, Contribution of working group I to the fourth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, UK, 2 (2007) 1-976.

[3] M. Karamouz, A. Hosseinpour, S. Nazif, Improvement of urban drainage system performance under climate change impact, Journal of Hydrologic engineering, ASCE, 16(5) (2011) 395-412.

[4] A.P. Sokolov, C.E. Forest, P.H. Stone, Comparing oceanic heat uptake in AOGCM transient climate change experiments, Journal of Climate, 16(10) (2003) 1573–1582.

[5] R.L. Wilby, I. Harris, A framework for assessing uncertainties nclimate change impacts (low flow scenarios for the River Thames, UK). Journal of Water resources research, 42 (2006) 10 pp.

[6] C.G. Pilling, J.A.A. Jones, The impact of future climate change on seasonal discharge, hydrological processes and extreme flows in the Upper Wye experimental catchment, Mid-Wales. Journal of Hydrological process, 16 (2002) 1201–1213.

[7] M.I. Hejazi, G.E. Moglen, The effect of climate and land use change on flow duration in the Maryland Piedmont region. Journal of Hydrological process, 22 (2008) 4710–4722.

[8] A. Hosseinpour, Developing an algorithm for investigating the environmental and climatic impacts on urban flood hydraulics, Msc. Thesis, Faculty of Engineering, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran (2008) (in Persian).

[9] P.S. Ashofteh, A.R. Massah Bavani, The impact of climate change on extreme runoff discharges (Case study: Aydoghmoush watershed), Agriculture and Natural resources science and technology (Soil and Water science), 14(53) (2010) 25-39 (in Persian).

[10] P. Baguis, E. Roulin, P. Willems, V. Ntegeka, Climate change scenarios for precipitation and potential evapotranspiration over central Belgium, Theoretica and Applied Climatology, 99 (2010) 273–286.

[11] S.P. Quintana, A. Ribes, E. Martin, F. Habets, J. Boe, Comparison of three downscaling methods in simulating the impact of climate change on the hydrology of Mediterranean basins, Journal of Hydrology, 383 (2010) 111-124.

[12] M.T. Taye, V. Ntegeka, N.P. Ogiramoi, P. Willems, Assessment of climate change impact on hydrological extremes in two source regions of the Nile River Basin, Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15(1) (2011) 209-222.

[13] Sh. Abdollah Shamshirsaz, Investigatting the climate change impact on runoff quantity and quality in urban catchment (Case study: Zargandeh channel), Msc. Thesis, faculty of Environment, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran (2008) (in Persian).

[14] F. Kara, I. Yucel. Climate change effects on extreme flows of water supply area in Istanbul: utility of regional climate models and downscaling method, Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, Springer International Publishing Switzerland, 187(9) (2015) 1-18.

[15] J. Romanowicz, E. Bogdanowicz, E. Debele, K. Doroszkiewcz, H. Hisdal, D. Lawrence, et al., Climate Change Impact on Hydrological Extremes (Preliminary Results from the Polish-Norwegian Project), Acta Geophysica, 64(2) (2016) 477-509.

[16] A. Mo’afi Rabori, Optimum design of dimensions of flood-diversion channel based on upland characteristics, Faculty of Agriculture and Natural Resources, MSc thesis, University of Tehran, Iran (2012) (in Persian).

[17] A. Moghimi, A. Saffari, Geomorphologic assessment of urban development in realm of surface drainage catchments (Case study: City of Tehran), Journal of Human Science Teacher, 14(1) (2008) 1-35 (in Persian).

[18] V. Parsa, H. Moti’ee, modelling urban floods using Storm-Cad, The 5th Conference on Iran Water Resources Management, Tehran, Iran (2013) (in Persian).

[19] Yekom consulting engineers, A project on (quantitativa and qualitative) rehabilitation of surface waters in southern Tehran, 3 (2009) (in Persian).

[20] IPCC-TGCIA., Guidelines on the use of scenario data for climate impact and adaptation assessment. Carter, T.R., M. Hulme and M. Lal (Eds.), Version 1, 69pp. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Task Group on Scenarios for Climate Impact Assessment, 1 (1999) 1-69.

[21] K-1 Model Developers, K-1 coupled model (MIROC) description. K-1 Technical Report 1 [Hasumi, H. and S. Emori (eds.)], Center for Climate System Research, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, (2004) 34pp.

[22] F. Hourdin, I. Musat, S. Bony, P. Braconnot, F. Codron, J.L. Dufresne, et al., The LMDZ4 general circulation model: climate performance and sensitivity to parametrized physics with emphasis on tropical convection. Climate Dynamics, 27(7–8) (2006) 787–813.

[23] Y.G. Motovilov, L. Gottschalk, K. Engeland, A. Rohde, Validation of a distributed hydrological model against spatial observations, Agriculture and Forest Meteorology, 98-99 (1999) 257- 277.

[24] M. Rasouli, A. Haghizadeh, H. Zeynivand, A. Ildermi, Evaluating the effect of land-use changes on outflow simulation using Artificial Neural Network (MLP) Case study: Yalfan watershed, Journal of Water and sustainable development, 1(2) (2014) 65-74 (in Persian).

[25] M.E. Lane, P.H. Krishen, R.M. Vogel, Indicators of impact of global climate change on U.S. water resources, ASCE, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 125(4) (1999)194-204.

[26] M. Mirza, Global warming and changes in the probability of occurrence of floods in Bangladesh and implications, Global Environmental Change, 12 (2001) 137-138.

[27] T.D. Mitchell, Pattern Scaling: An examination of accuracy of the technique for describing future climates, Climate change, 60 (2003) 217-242.

[28] P.S. Ashofteh, A.R. Massah Bavani, The effect of climate change uncertainty on flood regime (Case study: Aydoghmoush watershed), Journal of Iranian Water Resources Research, 5(2) (2009) 27-39 (in Persian).

[29] IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), Emission scenarios, Summery for policy makers, A special report of IPCC working group III. UNDP and WMO, (2000) 27 pages, Available online at: http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/special-reports/spm/sres-en.pdf, accessed by: 11-11-2016.

[30] A.R. Massah Bavani, S. Morid, Climate change impacts on Zayandeh Roud river flow in Isfahan. Agriculture and natural resources science and technology, 9(4) (2005) 17-27 (in Persian).

[31] P.D. Jones, M. Hulme, Calculating regional climatic times series for temperature and precipitation (methods and illustrations). Internaional journal of Climatology, 16 (1996) 361-377.

[32] C.H. Prudhomme, D. Jakob, C. Svensson, Uncertainty and climate change impact on the flood regime of small UK catchments. Journal of Hydrology, 277 (2001) 1-23.

[33] B. Ghahreman, Updated IDF equation for rainfall in Iran using 1-hour, 10-year rainfall. Journal of Agricultural science, 6 (1996) 13-30 (in Persian).

[34] F.C. Bell, Generalized Rainfall-Duration-Frequency Relationship, Journal of the Hydraulic Division. ASCE 95(6357) (1969) 311-327.

[35] A. Alizadeh, Principles of Applied Hydrology, 31th edition, University of Imam Reza (Peace be upon him), Mah’had, Iran (2010) 735 pp. (in Persian).

[36] B. Ghahreman, A. Sepaskhah, Estimating IDF equation for rainfall in Iran using 1-hour, 10-year rainfall. 3rd International congress on road and structural engineering, Faculty of Engineering, University of Shiraz, Iran (1980) (in Persian).

[37] B. Bakhtiari, Sh. Pour Mousavi, N. Sayyari, Investigating the effect of climate change on IDF curves for rainfalls in Babolsar station during 2011-2030, Iranian Journal of Irrigation and Drainage, 4(8) (2014) 694-704 (in Persian).

[38] A. Fallah Tafti, M.B. Sharifi, Simulating surface runoff drainage network by coupling MIKE SWMM and GIS, 7th International Seminar on River Engineering, University of Shahid Chamran, Ahvaz, Iran (2006) (in Persian).

[39] D.L. Fread, Handbook of Hydrology, Chapter 10, Ed. R. Maidment, McGraw-Hill Book Company, New York (1992).

[40] W. James, L.E. Rossman, W.R.C. James, Water system models: User’s Guide to SWMM 5.0, 13th Edition, CHI Press Publication R242, (2010) 205 pp.

[41] N. Binesh, M.H. Niksokhan, A. Sarang, A study of the effect of rainfall variability on Darakeh river flow rate during 1989-2012, Journal of Echo-hydrology, 3(3) (2016) 465-476 (in Persian).

[42] P. Almasi, Investigating the impact of climate change on flood frequency in Bazoft watershed, MSc. Thesis, Faculty of Agricultural and Natural Resources, Isfahan university of technology, Isfahan, Iran (2014) (in Persian).

[43] L.K. Alison, G.J. Richard, S.R. Nicholas. RCM rainfall for UK flood frequency estimation. II. Climate change results. Journal of Hydrology, 318 (2006) 163-172.

[44] S.M.M. Malaekepour, A model for investigating the impact of climate change on integrated management of urban flooding, MSc. Thesis, faculty of Civil Engineering, KN. Toosi University, Tehran, Iran (2012) (in Persian).