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بررسی تحلیلی نشانگرهای ریسک تأثیرگذار بر فاز طراحی قراردادهای طرح و ساخت | ||
| نشریه مهندسی عمران امیرکبیر | ||
| مقاله 9، دوره 53، شماره 7، مهر 1400، صفحه 2869-2888 اصل مقاله (1.63 M) | ||
| نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
| شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22060/ceej.2020.17512.6592 | ||
| نویسندگان | ||
| احد نظری* 1؛ مجید پرچمی جلال2؛ امید احمدسلطانی3 | ||
| 1دانشیار دانشکده معماری و شهرسازی، دانشگاه شهید بهشتی، تهران، ایران | ||
| 2دانشگاه تهران، دانشکده معماری | ||
| 3مدیریت پروژه و ساخت، دانشکده مهندسی عمران، موسسه آموزش عالی مهرالبرز، تهران، ایران | ||
| چکیده | ||
| امروزه با پیشرفت دانش مدیریت پروژه و توسعه روشهای مدیریتی، درصد شکست پروژهها، کاهش قابل توجهی داشته است. با این وجود همچنان بسیاری از اهداف پروژهها محقق نمیشود. یکی از مهمترین فرآیندهایی که به شدت تحقق اهداف یک پروژه را تحت تأثیر قرار میدهد، مدیریت ریسک پروژه است. یکی از راههای مؤثر در مدیریت ریسک پروژه، شناخت و مدیریت پدیدهای به نام نشانگر ریسک میباشد که با وجود گذشت سالیان زیادی از ارائه این مفهوم ولی همچنان بسیار محدود به آن پرداخته شده است. هدف اصلی این پژوهش، تلاش در ایجاد درک عمیقتر از این پدیده میباشد. شناخت و مدیریت این پدیده کمک شایانی به فرآیند مدیریت ریسک داشته و موجب میشود با داشتن زمان مناسب برای اتخاذ استراتژی، بهترین تصمیم گرفته شده و تأثیر منفی وقوع ریسک را کاهش داد. نوع قرارداد همواره نقش مؤثری در ایجاد ریسک دارد. لذا در این پژوهش جهت توسعه و تحلیل مفهوم پدیدهی نشانگر ریسک، روش طرح و ساخت با توجه به مزایا و اقبال روز افزون، انتخاب شده است و برای تبیین جایگاه و اهمیت نشانگر ریسک رابطه آن با تعدادی از ریسکهای مهم به صورت کیفی تحلیل شده است. بدین منظور از طریق مطالعات کتابخانهای، جدولی از ریسکهای متداول این قراردادها و نشانگرهای ریسک از منابع موجود، شناسایی و گردآوری شده است. از طریق مصاحبه با خبرگان روابط ریسک، منشأ و نشانگر در چند ریسک با اهمیت بالاتر بررسی، اعتبارسنجی و جدولی کاربردی از نشانگرها ریسک ارائه شده است که کمک شایانی به ذینفعان جهت داشتن آمادگی بیشتر پاسخگویی دارد. | ||
| کلیدواژهها | ||
| مدیریت ریسک؛ هشداردهنده زودهنگام ریسک (EWI)؛ نشانگر ریسک؛ طرح و ساخت | ||
| موضوعات | ||
| مدیریت ریسک؛ مهندسی و مدیریت ساخت و کنترل | ||
| عنوان مقاله [English] | ||
| Analytical Review of Risk Triggers in the Design Phase of D&B Contracts | ||
| نویسندگان [English] | ||
| Ahad Nazari1؛ Majid Parchami Jalal2؛ Omid Ahmad soltani3 | ||
| 1Associate Professor, University of Shahid Beheshti/School of Architecture,tehran,iran | ||
| 2University of Tehran/ School of Architecture | ||
| 3Project management and constructions, civil engineering, mehralborz higher education institute,Tehran, Iran | ||
| چکیده [English] | ||
| Nowadays, improvement of the project management knowledge and developing the management methods, decrease the probability of the failure of the project. One of the most important processes that affect project goals is project risk management. Identifying and managing the risk triggers is an effective method in project risk management. Many years have passed since this concept was introduced but its application is so limited yet. This research endeavors to develop and make a better understanding of this concept as the main goal. Recognition and managing of this phenomenon help the project risk management process. It makes the best decision for having the right time to adopt a strategy and ultimately it reduced the negative impact of risk-taking on the project. Moreover, the type of contract always plays an important role in the raising of the risk. Therefore, in this study, it is selected to develop a concept of risk trigger phenomenon, in D&B contract which has many benefits and client's tendency. To explain the status and importance of risk triggers, its relationship with several important risks has been qualitatively analyzed. For this purpose, through library studies and existing sources, common risks of these types of contracts and their indicators have been identified and compiled. Moreover, by interviews with experts on risk and risk triggers, some important risks are identified and validated. Finally, a functional table of risk triggers is presented that is a great help to stakeholders in being prepared to respond to the risk triggers. | ||
| کلیدواژهها [English] | ||
| Risk management, Early warning sign, Early warning indicators, Risk triggers, D&B projects | ||
| مراجع | ||
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